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Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union badge Philadelphia Union
VS

Final result4–2

Talen Energy Stadium

Match Finished

Orlando City SC badge Orlando City SC
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Philadelphia UnionProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Orlando City SCProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Philadelphia Union
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SC
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack61.0%39.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson71.0%29.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals48.0%52.0%
Total56.3%43.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Philadelphia Union

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Orlando City SC

Recent form (last 5): D W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union (14 May 2026)
  2. Philadelphia Union 0–0 Orlando City SC (06 Apr 2025)
  3. Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union (23 Feb 2025)
  4. Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union (03 Oct 2024)
  5. Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City SC (12 May 2024)
  6. Orlando City SC 2–2 Philadelphia Union (22 Jun 2023)
  7. Philadelphia Union 1–2 Orlando City SC (26 Mar 2023)
  8. Philadelphia Union 5–1 Orlando City SC (11 Sep 2022)
  9. Orlando City SC 0–1 Philadelphia Union (24 Jul 2022)
  10. Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union (11 May 2022)

Philadelphia Union recent matches

Scores below are shown as Philadelphia Union goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Sporting Kansas CityAway4–3Won
14 Sep 2026San DiegoAway5–0Won
10 Sep 2026FC CincinnatiHome5–0Won
06 Sep 2026CF MontrealHome2–0Won
30 Aug 2026New York Red BullsAway3–1Won
Philadelphia Union detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Philadelphia Union performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total26
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away6-4
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Philadelphia Union goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away31
Goals for total50
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total15
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage31.25%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.75%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under24
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away31
Goals against total42
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total12
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Orlando City SC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Orlando City SC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026New England RevolutionAway2–4Lost
17 Sep 2026Columbus CrewAway1–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Toronto FCHome3–0Won
10 Sep 2026Atlanta United FCAway3–2Won
06 Sep 2026San DiegoHome1–0Won
Orlando City SC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Orlando City SC performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total26
Wins home7
Wins away3
Wins total10
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Orlando City SC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away23
Goals for total46
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.16%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total12
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage24.49%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.12%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.37%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.37%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.49%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away43
Goals against total60
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away3.30
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.62%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.24%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.24%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.97%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.79%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under22

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Philadelphia Union predictions and analysis, Orlando City SC match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.