New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

VS

Final result0–2

Sports Illustrated Stadium

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : New York Red Bulls or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
New York Red BullsProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Toronto FCProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
New York Red Bulls
Betting advice
Double chance : New York Red Bulls or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNew York Red BullsToronto FC
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence63.0%38.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total63.2%37.0%

Team form and goal analysis

New York Red Bulls

Recent form (last 5): L W W L W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Toronto FC

Recent form (last 5): W L L L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls (26 Jun 2025)
  3. New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC (23 Mar 2025)
  4. Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls (03 Oct 2024)
  5. New York Red Bulls 0–0 Toronto FC (28 Jul 2024)
  6. New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC (23 Jun 2024)
  7. New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC (08 Oct 2023)
  8. Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls (18 May 2023)
  9. New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC (19 Jun 2022)
  10. Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls (05 Mar 2022)

New York Red Bulls recent matches

Scores below are shown as New York Red Bulls goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026San DiegoHome4–1Won
01 Oct 2026St. Louis CityHome0–3Lost
19 Sep 2026New York City FCAway1–0Won
13 Sep 2026Columbus CrewAway1–0Won
10 Sep 2026Los Angeles FCAway0–2Lost
New York Red Bulls detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New York Red Bulls performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home6
Losses away6
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away6-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

New York Red Bulls goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away16
Goals for total38
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage19.44%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.89%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.44%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home27
Goals against total away25
Goals against total52
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.96%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.41%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.07%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.52%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Toronto FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toronto FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026CF MontrealHome2–1Won
27 Sep 2026Nashville SCAway0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026St. Louis CityAway1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026Orlando City SCAway0–3Lost
10 Sep 2026Nashville SCHome2–1Won
Toronto FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toronto FC performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total28
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home8
Draws away3
Draws total11
Losses home2
Losses away8
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Toronto FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home31
Goals for total away10
Goals for total41
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage36.59%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home29
Goals against total away23
Goals against total52
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.46%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.23%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.31%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.46%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore New York Red Bulls predictions and analysis, Toronto FC match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.