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Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Nashville SC badge Nashville SC
VS

Final result4–0

Geodis Park

Match Finished

Sporting Kansas City badge Sporting Kansas City
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Nashville SC and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Nashville SCProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Sporting Kansas CityProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Nashville SC
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Nashville SC and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNashville SCSporting Kansas City
Form59.0%41.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson88.0%12.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Nashville SC

Recent form (last 5): L D W W W

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Sporting Kansas City

Recent form (last 5): W L W L D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Nashville SC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City (30 Jan 2024)
  2. Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Nashville SC (21 Sep 2023)
  3. Nashville SC 1–2 Sporting Kansas City (20 Jun 2022)
  4. Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Nashville SC (10 Apr 2022)
  5. Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Nashville SC (12 Oct 2020)

Nashville SC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Nashville SC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026AustinAway4–1Won
27 Sep 2026Toronto FCHome2–0Won
20 Sep 2026Chicago FireHome3–0Won
13 Sep 2026Inter MiamiAway2–2Draw
10 Sep 2026Toronto FCAway1–2Lost
Nashville SC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Nashville SC performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home13
Wins away6
Wins total19
Draws home1
Draws away5
Draws total6
Losses home0
Losses away3
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away7
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Nashville SC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home41
Goals for total away18
Goals for total59
Goals for average home2.90
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.47%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total12
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.34%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.25%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.25%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.56%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.42%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage1.69%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away10
Goals against total22
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Sporting Kansas City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sporting Kansas City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Portland TimbersHome3–3Draw
02 Oct 2026Seattle SoundersAway1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026Houston DynamoAway2–0Won
20 Sep 2026Philadelphia UnionHome3–4Lost
13 Sep 2026Los Angeles FCHome3–1Won
Sporting Kansas City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sporting Kansas City performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home4
Draws away0
Draws total4
Losses home7
Losses away11
Losses total18
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Sporting Kansas City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away14
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.62%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.62%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.51%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage24.32%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.81%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home29
Goals against total away39
Goals against total68
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away2.80
Goals against average total2.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.61%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total14
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.21%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total14
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.21%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Nashville SC predictions and analysis, Sporting Kansas City match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.