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Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC badge Minnesota United FC
VS

Final result3–2

Allianz Field

Match Finished

St. Louis City badge St. Louis City
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or St. Louis City and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Minnesota United FCProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
St. Louis CityProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
St. Louis City
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or St. Louis City and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMinnesota United FCSt. Louis City
Form7.0%93.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Minnesota United FC

Recent form (last 5): L L L L D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

St. Louis City

Recent form (last 5): D W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC (13 Sep 2026)
  2. St. Louis City 1–2 Minnesota United FC (27 Jul 2025)
  3. Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City (22 May 2025)
  4. Minnesota United FC 3–0 St. Louis City (18 May 2025)
  5. Minnesota United FC —–— St. Louis City (09 Feb 2025)
  6. Minnesota United FC 4–1 St. Louis City (20 Oct 2024)
  7. St. Louis City 1–3 Minnesota United FC (15 Sep 2024)
  8. Minnesota United FC 1–2 St. Louis City (24 Sep 2023)
  9. St. Louis City 0–1 Minnesota United FC (02 Apr 2023)

Minnesota United FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Minnesota United FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Houston DynamoHome2–2Draw
27 Sep 2026Seattle SoundersAway1–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Los Angeles GalaxyHome2–3Lost
13 Sep 2026St. Louis CityAway2–4Lost
10 Sep 2026FC DallasHome1–2Lost
Minnesota United FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Minnesota United FC performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home2
Wins away5
Wins total7
Draws home7
Draws away2
Draws total9
Losses home5
Losses away7
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Minnesota United FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away26
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.30%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.91%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.28%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away33
Goals against total51
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.40
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

St. Louis City recent matches

Scores below are shown as St. Louis City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026Los Angeles GalaxyHome6–2Won
01 Oct 2026New York Red BullsAway3–0Won
20 Sep 2026Toronto FCHome3–1Won
17 Sep 2026Colorado RapidsAway3–0Won
13 Sep 2026Minnesota United FCHome4–2Won
St. Louis City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

St. Louis City performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home2
Losses away4
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home6-2
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

St. Louis City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home34
Goals for total away20
Goals for total54
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.21%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.98%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.75%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.32%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.98%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away19
Goals against total38
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.13%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.21%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Minnesota United FC predictions and analysis, St. Louis City match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.