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Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC badge Minnesota United FC
VS

Final result3–1

Allianz Field

Match Finished

Sporting Kansas City badge Sporting Kansas City
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Minnesota United FC or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Minnesota United FCProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Sporting Kansas CityProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Minnesota United FC
Betting advice
Double chance : Minnesota United FC or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
Form86.0%14.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence61.0%39.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total69.2%30.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Minnesota United FC

Recent form (last 5): L D D W D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Sporting Kansas City

Recent form (last 5): L D L L L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC (23 Jul 2026)
  2. Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Minnesota United FC (07 Feb 2026)
  3. Minnesota United FC 3–0 Sporting Kansas City (05 Oct 2025)
  4. Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Minnesota United FC (16 Mar 2025)
  5. Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Minnesota United FC (22 Sep 2024)
  6. Minnesota United FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City (02 Jun 2024)
  7. Minnesota United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City (28 Apr 2024)
  8. Sporting Kansas City 3–1 Minnesota United FC (22 Oct 2023)
  9. Minnesota United FC 0–1 Sporting Kansas City (17 Sep 2023)
  10. Sporting Kansas City 3–0 Minnesota United FC (14 May 2023)

Minnesota United FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Minnesota United FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Houston DynamoAway0–0Draw
17 Oct 2026St. Louis CityHome3–2Won
15 Oct 2026Colorado RapidsAway2–2Draw
11 Oct 2026Houston DynamoHome2–2Draw
27 Sep 2026Seattle SoundersAway1–3Lost
Minnesota United FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Minnesota United FC performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home3
Wins away5
Wins total8
Draws home7
Draws away4
Draws total11
Losses home5
Losses away7
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Minnesota United FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away28
Goals for total47
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.51%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.64%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.02%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.15%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total13
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.66%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.02%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away35
Goals against total55
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total12
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.82%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.73%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.55%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.91%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Sporting Kansas City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sporting Kansas City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026AustinHome1–2Lost
18 Oct 2026Real Salt LakeHome1–3Lost
15 Oct 2026Nashville SCAway0–4Lost
11 Oct 2026Portland TimbersHome3–3Draw
02 Oct 2026Seattle SoundersAway1–2Lost
Sporting Kansas City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sporting Kansas City performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home4
Draws away0
Draws total4
Losses home9
Losses away12
Losses total21
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Sporting Kansas City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away14
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.82%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home34
Goals against total away43
Goals against total77
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away2.90
Goals against average total2.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total13
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total15
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total16
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over30
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Minnesota United FC predictions and analysis, Sporting Kansas City match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.