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Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC badge Minnesota United FC
VS

Allianz Field

San Jose Earthquakes badge San Jose Earthquakes
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Minnesota United FC or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Minnesota United FCProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
San Jose EarthquakesProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Minnesota United FC
Betting advice
Double chance : Minnesota United FC or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMinnesota United FCSan Jose Earthquakes
Form65.0%35.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson40.0%60.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total62.3%37.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Minnesota United FC

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

San Jose Earthquakes

Recent form (last 5): D D L D W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC (23 Aug 2026)
  2. San Jose Earthquakes 4–2 Minnesota United FC (29 Apr 2026)
  3. Minnesota United FC 4–1 San Jose Earthquakes (13 Jul 2025)
  4. San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Minnesota United FC (09 Mar 2025)
  5. San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Minnesota United FC (01 Sep 2024)
  6. Minnesota United FC 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes (21 Jul 2024)
  7. Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes (01 Oct 2023)
  8. San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Minnesota United FC (03 Sep 2023)
  9. Minnesota United FC 1–4 San Jose Earthquakes (15 Feb 2023)
  10. San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Minnesota United FC (02 Oct 2022)

Minnesota United FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Minnesota United FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Nov 2026Los Angeles FCAway3–1Won
29 Oct 2026Sporting Kansas CityHome3–1Won
25 Oct 2026Houston DynamoAway0–0Draw
17 Oct 2026St. Louis CityHome3–2Won
15 Oct 2026Colorado RapidsAway2–2Draw
Minnesota United FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Minnesota United FC performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home4
Wins away6
Wins total10
Draws home7
Draws away4
Draws total11
Losses home5
Losses away7
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Minnesota United FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away31
Goals for total53
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.55%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.32%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.98%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.98%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total14
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.42%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.75%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away36
Goals against total57
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total12
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.30%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.04%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.04%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

San Jose Earthquakes recent matches

Scores below are shown as San Jose Earthquakes goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Real Salt LakeHome2–1Won
29 Oct 2026Colorado RapidsHome2–2Draw
25 Oct 2026FC DallasAway0–3Lost
18 Oct 2026Nashville SCHome1–1Draw
15 Oct 2026Real Salt LakeAway1–1Draw
San Jose Earthquakes detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

San Jose Earthquakes performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home7
Wins away7
Wins total14
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home5
Losses away4
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage57.14%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage42.86%
Penalty total7

San Jose Earthquakes goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home30
Goals for total away26
Goals for total56
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total14
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.07%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home26
Goals against total away22
Goals against total48
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Minnesota United FC predictions and analysis, San Jose Earthquakes match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.