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FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati badge FC Cincinnati
VS

Final result1–0

TQL Stadium

Match Finished

Philadelphia Union badge Philadelphia Union
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
FC CincinnatiProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Philadelphia UnionProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Philadelphia Union
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack43.0%57.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals37.0%63.0%
Total44.7%55.3%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Cincinnati

Recent form (last 5): W L L W W

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Philadelphia Union

Recent form (last 5): W W W D L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati (10 Sep 2026)
  2. FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati (02 Mar 2025)
  4. FC Cincinnati 4–1 Philadelphia Union (07 Feb 2025)
  5. Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati (21 Oct 2024)
  6. FC Cincinnati 2–4 Philadelphia Union (14 Aug 2024)
  7. FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union (20 Jun 2024)
  8. FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union (09 Feb 2024)
  9. FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union (26 Nov 2023)
  10. Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati (17 Sep 2023)

FC Cincinnati recent matches

Scores below are shown as FC Cincinnati goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026DC UnitedAway2–0Won
22 Oct 2026DC UnitedHome2–1Won
18 Oct 2026Columbus CrewHome0–2Lost
15 Oct 2026New England RevolutionHome2–3Lost
11 Oct 2026Atlanta United FCAway3–1Won
FC Cincinnati detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FC Cincinnati performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home8
Wins away3
Wins total11
Draws home3
Draws away6
Draws total9
Losses home4
Losses away7
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home6-2
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home3-5
Biggest losses away6-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

FC Cincinnati goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home38
Goals for total away26
Goals for total64
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.45%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.96%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total14
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.90%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.42%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.45%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total22
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage32.84%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home30
Goals against total away41
Goals against total71
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.80%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total14
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total14
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total17
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.84%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Philadelphia Union recent matches

Scores below are shown as Philadelphia Union goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026New England RevolutionHome1–2Lost
17 Oct 2026CharlotteHome2–2Draw
15 Oct 2026Chicago FireAway3–1Won
11 Oct 2026Real Salt LakeHome2–1Won
27 Sep 2026Orlando City SCHome4–2Won
Philadelphia Union detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Philadelphia Union performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home7
Wins away6
Wins total13
Draws home5
Draws away2
Draws total7
Losses home4
Losses away7
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away6-4
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total7
Penalty scored percentage87.50%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage12.50%
Penalty total8

Philadelphia Union goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away34
Goals for total62
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total17
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away32
Goals against total50
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total12
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.31%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.62%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FC Cincinnati predictions and analysis, Philadelphia Union match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.