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Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire badge Chicago Fire
VS

Final result1–3

Soldier Field

Match Finished

Philadelphia Union badge Philadelphia Union
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Chicago FireProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Philadelphia UnionProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Philadelphia Union
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChicago FirePhiladelphia Union
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack26.0%74.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total35.2%65.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Chicago Fire

Recent form (last 5): L L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Philadelphia Union

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire (21 Mar 2026)
  2. Chicago Fire 0–3 Philadelphia Union (01 Nov 2025)
  3. Philadelphia Union 2–2 Chicago Fire (26 Oct 2025)
  4. Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire (24 Aug 2025)
  5. Chicago Fire 0–1 Philadelphia Union (26 Jun 2025)
  6. Chicago Fire 4–3 Philadelphia Union (04 Jul 2024)
  7. Philadelphia Union 2–2 Chicago Fire (25 Feb 2024)
  8. Chicago Fire 2–2 Philadelphia Union (16 Apr 2023)
  9. Philadelphia Union 1–0 Chicago Fire (12 Mar 2023)
  10. Philadelphia Union 4–1 Chicago Fire (14 Aug 2022)

Chicago Fire recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chicago Fire goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026New York City FCHome2–1Won
07 Oct 2026Vancouver WhitecapsHome3–1Won
27 Sep 2026CharlotteAway1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Nashville SCAway0–3Lost
13 Sep 2026New England RevolutionHome1–2Lost
Chicago Fire detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chicago Fire performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home1
Draws away5
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage57.14%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage42.86%
Penalty total7

Chicago Fire goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away24
Goals for total51
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away24
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.88%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage24.39%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage19.51%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage4.88%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Philadelphia Union recent matches

Scores below are shown as Philadelphia Union goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Real Salt LakeHome2–1Won
27 Sep 2026Orlando City SCHome4–2Won
20 Sep 2026Sporting Kansas CityAway4–3Won
14 Sep 2026San DiegoAway5–0Won
10 Sep 2026FC CincinnatiHome5–0Won
Philadelphia Union detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Philadelphia Union performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away6-4
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage85.71%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage14.29%
Penalty total7

Philadelphia Union goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away31
Goals for total56
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.26%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.37%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total15
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.78%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.52%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away31
Goals against total45
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.77%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total12
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.53%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.89%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.51%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.89%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.28%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.13%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chicago Fire predictions and analysis, Philadelphia Union match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.