Tacuarembo vs La Luz Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Segunda División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Segunda División

VS

Final result0–1

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or La Luz and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
TacuaremboProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
La LuzProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
La Luz
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or La Luz and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTacuaremboLa Luz
Form23.0%77.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence38.0%62.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total41.7%58.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Tacuarembo

Recent form (last 5): D D D L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

La Luz

Recent form (last 5): W L W W D

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. La Luz 2–0 Tacuarembo (13 Jul 2026)
  2. Tacuarembo 1–1 La Luz (17 Mar 2026)
  3. Tacuarembo 1–1 La Luz (31 Aug 2025)
  4. La Luz 1–2 Tacuarembo (07 Jun 2025)
  5. Tacuarembo 1–1 La Luz (30 Mar 2025)
  6. La Luz 2–0 Tacuarembo (29 Sep 2024)
  7. Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz (16 Jun 2024)
  8. Tacuarembo 1–0 La Luz (23 Mar 2024)

Tacuarembo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tacuarembo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026CerritoAway1–2Lost
04 Oct 2026AtenasHome0–1Lost
29 Sep 2026PaysanduAway2–2Draw
20 Sep 2026Sportivo HuracanHome1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Uruguay MontevideoAway2–2Draw
Tacuarembo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tacuarembo performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Tacuarembo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away13
Goals for total22
Goals for average home0.60
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away22
Goals against total34
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.82%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.71%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.41%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.88%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

La Luz recent matches

Scores below are shown as La Luz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Plaza ColoniaHome1–1Draw
05 Oct 2026CA River PlateHome3–2Won
27 Sep 2026CerritoAway2–1Won
20 Sep 2026AtenasHome0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026PaysanduAway1–0Won
La Luz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

La Luz performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home5
Wins away3
Wins total8
Draws home3
Draws away8
Draws total11
Losses home6
Losses away3
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away8
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

La Luz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away7
Goals for total25
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.83%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage4.17%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away10
Goals against total31
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage3.13%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tacuarembo predictions and analysis, La Luz match tips, or more Segunda División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.