Cerrito vs La Luz Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Segunda División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Segunda División

VS

Final result1–2

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Cerrito or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CerritoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
La LuzProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cerrito
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Cerrito or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCerritoLa Luz
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson78.0%22.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Cerrito

Recent form (last 5): W L L D D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

La Luz

Recent form (last 5): L D L W L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. La Luz 2–0 Cerrito (21 Jun 2026)
  2. Cerrito 0–0 La Luz (19 Apr 2026)
  3. Cerrito 1–0 La Luz (16 Aug 2025)
  4. La Luz 2–2 Cerrito (24 May 2025)
  5. Cerrito 0–0 La Luz (14 Sep 2024)
  6. La Luz 6–0 Cerrito (31 May 2024)

Cerrito recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerrito goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Sep 2026WanderersAway3–1Won
20 Sep 2026CA River PlateHome1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026AtenasAway0–0Draw
10 Sep 2026CerroAway2–0Won
05 Sep 2026PaysanduHome1–2Lost
Cerrito detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerrito performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total25
Wins home7
Wins away1
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away7
Draws total11
Losses home1
Losses away5
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Cerrito goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away13
Goals for total31
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage21.88%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage3.13%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.13%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away21
Goals against total29
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

La Luz recent matches

Scores below are shown as La Luz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026AtenasHome0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026PaysanduAway1–0Won
04 Sep 2026Sportivo HuracanHome1–3Lost
29 Aug 2026Uruguay MontevideoAway0–0Draw
23 Aug 2026OrientalHome0–2Lost
La Luz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

La Luz performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total25
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home2
Draws away8
Draws total10
Losses home6
Losses away3
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away8
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

La Luz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away5
Goals for total19
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away9
Goals against total27
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.86%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage3.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cerrito predictions and analysis, La Luz match tips, or more Segunda División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.