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Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Wanderers badge Wanderers
VS

Final result0–1

Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera

Match Finished

Progreso badge Progreso
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or ProgresoSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
WanderersProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
ProgresoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Progreso
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Progreso

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorWanderersProgreso
Form41.0%59.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Wanderers

Recent form (last 5): D W W L L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Progreso

Recent form (last 5): W W L D W

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Wanderers 2–0 Progreso (11 Jul 2026)
  2. Progreso 2–1 Wanderers (18 Apr 2026)
  3. Progreso 2–0 Wanderers (21 Sep 2025)
  4. Wanderers 1–1 Progreso (27 Mar 2025)
  5. Progreso 0–0 Wanderers (10 Nov 2024)
  6. Wanderers 4–2 Progreso (14 Jul 2024)
  7. Wanderers 2–0 Progreso (04 May 2024)
  8. Progreso 3–1 Wanderers (15 Nov 2021)
  9. Wanderers 2–0 Progreso (31 Jul 2021)
  10. Wanderers 1–3 Progreso (21 Mar 2021)

Wanderers recent matches

Scores below are shown as Wanderers goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoAway0–3Lost
10 Oct 2026Boston RiverHome1–3Lost
07 Oct 2026CerritoAway2–2Draw
04 Oct 2026CerroAway2–0Won
29 Sep 2026Albion FCHome2–1Won
Wanderers detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Wanderers performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total34
Wins home7
Wins away7
Wins total14
Draws home6
Draws away2
Draws total8
Losses home3
Losses away9
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage85.71%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage14.29%
Penalty total7

Wanderers goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away22
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage27.91%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.28%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away32
Goals against total47
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.89%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.77%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.64%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.89%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.15%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.66%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Progreso recent matches

Scores below are shown as Progreso goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026JuventudHome2–0Won
10 Oct 2026PenarolAway1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway2–3Lost
26 Sep 2026Racing MontevideoHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026Boston RiverAway2–1Won
Progreso detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Progreso performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home9
Losses away10
Losses total19
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Progreso goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away14
Goals for total30
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.79%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.34%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.34%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.90%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.93%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.45%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home24
Goals against total away23
Goals against total47
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.92%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Wanderers predictions and analysis, Progreso match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.