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Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Racing Montevideo badge Racing Montevideo
VS

Final result0–1

Estadio Osvaldo Roberto

Match Finished

Penarol badge Penarol
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or PenarolSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Racing MontevideoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
PenarolProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penarol
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Penarol

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorRacing MontevideoPenarol
Form35.0%65.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals46.0%54.0%
Total40.5%59.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Racing Montevideo

Recent form (last 5): W L W D L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Penarol

Recent form (last 5): W W W W D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Racing Montevideo 1–1 Penarol (12 Jul 2026)
  2. Penarol 1–2 Racing Montevideo (30 Mar 2026)
  3. Penarol 1–0 Racing Montevideo (20 Jan 2026)
  4. Racing Montevideo 1–4 Penarol (31 Aug 2025)
  5. Penarol 0–2 Racing Montevideo (09 Mar 2025)
  6. Penarol 0–0 Racing Montevideo (01 Oct 2024)
  7. Penarol 1–1 Racing Montevideo (16 Jun 2024)
  8. Racing Montevideo 1–2 Penarol (15 Mar 2024)
  9. Penarol 1–1 Racing Montevideo (02 Dec 2023)
  10. Racing Montevideo 0–2 Penarol (09 May 2023)

Racing Montevideo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Racing Montevideo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026ProgresoAway1–2Lost
21 Sep 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026JuventudAway0–3Lost
12 Sep 2026Boston RiverHome3–2Won
09 Sep 2026Central EspanolHome2–4Lost
Racing Montevideo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Racing Montevideo performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home5
Draws away6
Draws total11
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Racing Montevideo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away14
Goals for total36
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.44%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.78%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away13
Goals against total24
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Penarol recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penarol goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueAway1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026Boston RiverHome2–1Won
24 Sep 2026DanubioAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026CerroAway2–1Won
14 Sep 2026Albion FCHome3–1Won
Penarol detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penarol performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total31
Wins home10
Wins away9
Wins total19
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away2
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away8
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Penarol goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home33
Goals for total away21
Goals for total54
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.15%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.92%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away8
Goals against total26
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Racing Montevideo predictions and analysis, Penarol match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.