Progreso vs Juventud Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

VS

Final result2–0

Parque Abraham Paladino

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or JuventudSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
ProgresoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
JuventudProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Juventud
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Juventud

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorProgresoJuventud
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence18.0%82.0%
Poisson35.0%65.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total34.7%65.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Progreso

Recent form (last 5): L W W L D

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Juventud

Recent form (last 5): D W D D W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Juventud 2–0 Progreso (16 May 2026)
  2. Juventud 1–0 Progreso (12 Apr 2026)
  3. Juventud 0–1 Progreso (19 Jan 2026)
  4. Juventud 1–1 Progreso (09 Nov 2025)
  5. Juventud 2–0 Progreso (29 Jun 2025)
  6. Progreso 1–2 Juventud (18 May 2025)
  7. Progreso 2–1 Juventud (18 Nov 2023)
  8. Juventud 1–1 Progreso (07 Jul 2023)
  9. Juventud 1–5 Progreso (29 Apr 2023)
  10. Progreso 0–1 Juventud (06 Aug 2022)

Progreso recent matches

Scores below are shown as Progreso goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026PenarolAway1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway2–3Lost
26 Sep 2026Racing MontevideoHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026Boston RiverAway2–1Won
16 Sep 2026Club NacionalHome0–1Lost
Progreso detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Progreso performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total32
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home9
Losses away10
Losses total19
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Progreso goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away14
Goals for total28
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.04%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home24
Goals against total away23
Goals against total47
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.92%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Juventud recent matches

Scores below are shown as Juventud goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoHome2–0Won
08 Oct 2026Plaza ColoniaAway1–0Won
04 Oct 2026Boston RiverAway0–0Draw
27 Sep 2026CerroHome0–0Draw
20 Sep 2026Albion FCAway3–1Won
Juventud detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Juventud performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away7
Draws total10
Losses home7
Losses away5
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Juventud goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away19
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.26%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.82%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total14
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage35.90%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.26%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.13%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away21
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage24.32%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Progreso predictions and analysis, Juventud match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.