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Penarol vs Wanderers Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Penarol badge Penarol
VS

Final result1–1

Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi

Match Finished

Wanderers badge Wanderers
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Penarol or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PenarolProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
WanderersProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penarol
Betting advice
Double chance : Penarol or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPenarolWanderers
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total64.8%35.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Penarol

Recent form (last 5): D W D L D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Wanderers

Recent form (last 5): W W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Penarol 5–1 Wanderers (06 Aug 2026)
  2. Wanderers 1–0 Penarol (27 Apr 2026)
  3. Penarol 3–0 Wanderers (19 Oct 2025)
  4. Penarol 2–0 Wanderers (22 Jun 2025)
  5. Wanderers 1–2 Penarol (19 Apr 2025)
  6. Wanderers 0–2 Penarol (14 Nov 2024)
  7. Wanderers 2–0 Penarol (08 Jun 2024)
  8. Penarol 1–0 Wanderers (11 May 2024)
  9. Wanderers 0–0 Penarol (06 Dec 2023)
  10. Wanderers 0–0 Penarol (24 Jun 2023)

Penarol recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penarol goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueHome0–2Lost
24 Oct 2026JuventudAway0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026ProgresoHome1–1Draw
05 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoAway1–0Won
Penarol detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penarol performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total35
Wins home10
Wins away10
Wins total20
Draws home4
Draws away4
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away3
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away10
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Penarol goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home34
Goals for total away22
Goals for total56
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.37%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.26%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage29.63%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away9
Goals against total28
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Wanderers recent matches

Scores below are shown as Wanderers goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026ProgresoHome0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoAway0–3Lost
10 Oct 2026Boston RiverHome1–3Lost
07 Oct 2026CerritoAway2–2Draw
04 Oct 2026CerroAway2–0Won
Wanderers detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Wanderers performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total35
Wins home7
Wins away7
Wins total14
Draws home6
Draws away2
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away9
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage85.71%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage14.29%
Penalty total7

Wanderers goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away22
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage27.91%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.28%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away32
Goals against total48
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.42%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.08%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Penarol predictions and analysis, Wanderers match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.