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Penarol vs Boston River Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Penarol badge Penarol
VS

Final result2–1

Match Finished

Boston River badge Boston River
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Penarol or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PenarolProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Boston RiverProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penarol
Betting advice
Double chance : Penarol or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPenarolBoston River
Form71.0%29.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total64.3%35.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Penarol

Recent form (last 5): D L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Boston River

Recent form (last 5): W D L L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Penarol 3–0 Boston River (18 Jul 2026)
  2. Boston River 0–2 Penarol (26 Mar 2026)
  3. Penarol 2–2 Boston River (24 Jan 2026)
  4. Boston River 2–1 Penarol (16 Aug 2025)
  5. Penarol 1–1 Boston River (15 Feb 2025)
  6. Penarol 2–0 Boston River (20 Oct 2024)
  7. Boston River 1–3 Penarol (20 Apr 2024)
  8. Penarol 2–0 Boston River (06 Feb 2024)
  9. Boston River 0–1 Penarol (02 Sep 2023)
  10. Penarol 2–1 Boston River (16 Jul 2023)

Penarol recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penarol goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Sep 2026DanubioAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026CerroAway2–1Won
14 Sep 2026Albion FCHome3–1Won
05 Sep 2026DanubioAway4–0Won
03 Sep 2026AtenasAway2–2Draw
Penarol detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penarol performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total29
Wins home9
Wins away9
Wins total18
Draws home3
Draws away2
Draws total5
Losses home4
Losses away2
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away8
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Penarol goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home31
Goals for total away20
Goals for total51
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.20%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.41%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.24%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.41%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.20%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away7
Goals against total24
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage26.92%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage19.23%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Boston River recent matches

Scores below are shown as Boston River goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23 Sep 2026FenixHome3–2Won
19 Sep 2026ProgresoHome1–2Lost
12 Sep 2026Racing MontevideoAway2–3Lost
09 Sep 2026ColónHome2–0Won
07 Sep 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway0–1Lost
Boston River detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Boston River performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total29
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home6
Losses away9
Losses total15
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home7
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Boston River goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away14
Goals for total28
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.79%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage3.45%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.03%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away27
Goals against total40
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Penarol predictions and analysis, Boston River match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.