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Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Liverpool Montevideo badge Liverpool Montevideo
VS

Final result3–2

Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera

Match Finished

Progreso badge Progreso
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Liverpool Montevideo or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Liverpool MontevideoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
ProgresoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Liverpool Montevideo
Betting advice
Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson67.0%33.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals61.0%39.0%
Total55.2%44.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Liverpool Montevideo

Recent form (last 5): D W L D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Progreso

Recent form (last 5): W W L W W

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Progreso 3–3 Liverpool Montevideo (31 Mar 2026)
  2. Liverpool Montevideo 3–1 Progreso (26 Oct 2025)
  3. Progreso 0–2 Liverpool Montevideo (27 Apr 2025)
  4. Liverpool Montevideo 2–1 Progreso (03 Nov 2024)
  5. Progreso 2–1 Liverpool Montevideo (28 Apr 2024)
  6. Liverpool Montevideo 0–1 Progreso (03 Oct 2021)
  7. Progreso 1–3 Liverpool Montevideo (04 Jun 2021)
  8. Progreso 0–4 Liverpool Montevideo (30 Jan 2021)
  9. Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Progreso (08 Mar 2020)
  10. Progreso 2–1 Liverpool Montevideo (22 Sep 2019)

Liverpool Montevideo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Liverpool Montevideo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Central EspanolAway2–1Won
23 Sep 2026ColónHome3–0Won
21 Sep 2026Racing MontevideoHome0–0Draw
15 Sep 2026Atletico TorqueAway1–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Boston RiverHome1–0Won
Liverpool Montevideo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Liverpool Montevideo performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total30
Wins home5
Wins away7
Wins total12
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total14
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Liverpool Montevideo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away22
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away16
Goals against total28
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.41%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.52%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.41%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Progreso recent matches

Scores below are shown as Progreso goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Racing MontevideoHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026Boston RiverAway2–1Won
16 Sep 2026Club NacionalHome0–1Lost
13 Sep 2026CerroHome1–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Albion FCAway1–0Won
Progreso detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Progreso performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home9
Losses away9
Losses total18
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Progreso goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away11
Goals for total25
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.83%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home24
Goals against total away19
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Liverpool Montevideo predictions and analysis, Progreso match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.