Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

VS

Final result1–0

Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or PenarolSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Liverpool MontevideoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
PenarolProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penarol
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Penarol

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLiverpool MontevideoPenarol
Form42.0%58.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson30.0%70.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Liverpool Montevideo

Recent form (last 5): L D W W D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Penarol

Recent form (last 5): W W D W D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Penarol 2–1 Liverpool Montevideo (16 May 2026)
  2. Penarol 0–2 Liverpool Montevideo (14 Apr 2026)
  3. Liverpool Montevideo 1–2 Penarol (16 Nov 2025)
  4. Liverpool Montevideo 2–2 Penarol (13 Sep 2025)
  5. Penarol 2–1 Liverpool Montevideo (11 Sep 2025)
  6. Liverpool Montevideo 3–2 Penarol (19 Jun 2025)
  7. Penarol 0–3 Liverpool Montevideo (21 Mar 2025)
  8. Penarol 2–0 Liverpool Montevideo (09 Nov 2024)
  9. Liverpool Montevideo 2–2 Penarol (03 May 2024)
  10. Penarol 3–1 Liverpool Montevideo (13 Feb 2024)

Liverpool Montevideo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Liverpool Montevideo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Deportivo MaldonadoAway1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026ProgresoHome3–2Won
27 Sep 2026Central EspanolAway2–1Won
23 Sep 2026ColónHome3–0Won
21 Sep 2026Racing MontevideoHome0–0Draw
Liverpool Montevideo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Liverpool Montevideo performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total32
Wins home6
Wins away7
Wins total13
Draws home5
Draws away6
Draws total11
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total14
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Liverpool Montevideo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away23
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.91%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away17
Goals against total31
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Penarol recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penarol goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026ProgresoHome1–1Draw
05 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoAway1–0Won
01 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueAway1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026Boston RiverHome2–1Won
24 Sep 2026DanubioAway1–1Draw
Penarol detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penarol performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total33
Wins home10
Wins away10
Wins total20
Draws home4
Draws away3
Draws total7
Losses home4
Losses away2
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away9
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Penarol goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home34
Goals for total away22
Goals for total56
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.37%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.26%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage29.63%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away8
Goals against total27
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.79%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.24%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage24.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.24%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.34%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.24%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Liverpool Montevideo predictions and analysis, Penarol match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.