Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Primera División

VS
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Deportivo MaldonadoSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Deportivo MaldonadoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
CerroProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Deportivo Maldonado
Betting advice
Winner : Deportivo Maldonado

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDeportivo MaldonadoCerro
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson84.0%16.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total74.7%25.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Deportivo Maldonado

Recent form (last 5): W D L W D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Cerro

Recent form (last 5): L W D L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cerro 1–2 Deportivo Maldonado (24 Sep 2026)
  2. Cerro 0–1 Deportivo Maldonado (02 May 2026)
  3. Cerro 0–0 Deportivo Maldonado (08 Nov 2024)
  4. Deportivo Maldonado 3–0 Cerro (05 May 2024)
  5. Deportivo Maldonado 2–1 Cerro (04 Sep 2023)
  6. Deportivo Maldonado 1–2 Cerro (18 Jul 2023)
  7. Cerro 0–0 Deportivo Maldonado (18 Feb 2023)
  8. Cerro 2–3 Deportivo Maldonado (13 Mar 2021)
  9. Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Cerro (13 Sep 2020)

Deportivo Maldonado recent matches

Scores below are shown as Deportivo Maldonado goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Nov 2026Club NacionalHome1–2Lost
03 Nov 2026Albion FCAway0–0Draw
29 Oct 2026PorongosAway4–0Won
25 Oct 2026DanubioHome2–1Won
20 Oct 2026Club NacionalAway2–3Lost
Deportivo Maldonado detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Deportivo Maldonado performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total35
Wins home12
Wins away6
Wins total18
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home1
Losses away7
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away6
Clean sheet total15
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Deportivo Maldonado goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home32
Goals for total away22
Goals for total54
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.46%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.46%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total18
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage34.62%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away20
Goals against total32
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.59%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.47%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Cerro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Central EspanolHome1–2Lost
25 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueAway1–3Lost
17 Oct 2026Cerro LargoHome1–1Draw
10 Oct 2026Defensor SportingAway3–2Won
04 Oct 2026WanderersHome0–2Lost
Cerro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerro performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total35
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home4
Draws away3
Draws total7
Losses home7
Losses away11
Losses total18
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Cerro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away16
Goals for total29
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.71%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away38
Goals against total53
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.41%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.96%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.26%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total18
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Deportivo Maldonado predictions and analysis, Cerro match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.