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Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Defensor Sporting badge Defensor Sporting
VS

Final result3–3

Estadio Luis Franzini

Match Finished

Racing Montevideo badge Racing Montevideo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Defensor Sporting or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Defensor SportingProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Racing MontevideoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Defensor Sporting
Betting advice
Double chance : Defensor Sporting or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDefensor SportingRacing Montevideo
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals83.0%17.0%
Total58.2%41.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Defensor Sporting

Recent form (last 5): L W L L L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Racing Montevideo

Recent form (last 5): D L L L W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Racing Montevideo 0–0 Defensor Sporting (30 May 2026)
  2. Racing Montevideo 1–1 Defensor Sporting (18 Apr 2026)
  3. Racing Montevideo 0–1 Defensor Sporting (17 Aug 2025)
  4. Defensor Sporting 2–0 Racing Montevideo (16 Feb 2025)
  5. Defensor Sporting 1–0 Racing Montevideo (24 Oct 2024)
  6. Defensor Sporting 1–2 Racing Montevideo (14 Sep 2024)
  7. Racing Montevideo 0–1 Defensor Sporting (22 Jun 2024)
  8. Racing Montevideo 1–2 Defensor Sporting (02 Mar 2024)
  9. Defensor Sporting 3–0 Racing Montevideo (11 Nov 2023)
  10. Racing Montevideo 0–1 Defensor Sporting (03 Apr 2023)

Defensor Sporting recent matches

Scores below are shown as Defensor Sporting goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Boston RiverAway0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026CerroHome2–3Lost
03 Oct 2026Albion FCAway2–3Lost
30 Sep 2026Plaza ColoniaHome0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026DanubioHome1–0Won
Defensor Sporting detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Defensor Sporting performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home7
Wins away1
Wins total8
Draws home3
Draws away8
Draws total11
Losses home7
Losses away7
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Defensor Sporting goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away13
Goals for total30
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.34%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.34%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.69%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.14%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away19
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.51%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.32%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage4.88%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage39.02%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Racing Montevideo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Racing Montevideo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026WanderersHome3–0Won
11 Oct 2026JuventudAway0–2Lost
05 Oct 2026PenarolHome0–1Lost
26 Sep 2026ProgresoAway1–2Lost
21 Sep 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway0–0Draw
Racing Montevideo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Racing Montevideo performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home10
Wins away5
Wins total15
Draws home5
Draws away6
Draws total11
Losses home2
Losses away5
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total14
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Racing Montevideo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away14
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.26%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.95%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.26%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away15
Goals against total27
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.41%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.93%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Defensor Sporting predictions and analysis, Racing Montevideo match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.