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Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Defensor Sporting badge Defensor Sporting
VS

Estadio Luis Franzini

Penarol badge Penarol
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or PenarolSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Defensor SportingProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
PenarolProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penarol
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Penarol

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDefensor SportingPenarol
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence23.0%77.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2H7.0%93.0%
Goals17.0%83.0%
Total30.7%69.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Defensor Sporting

Recent form (last 5): L L L D W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Penarol

Recent form (last 5): W D L D D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Defensor Sporting 0–2 Penarol (24 May 2026)
  2. Penarol 1–1 Defensor Sporting (05 May 2026)
  3. Penarol 2–1 Defensor Sporting (02 Nov 2025)
  4. Defensor Sporting 0–2 Penarol (16 Oct 2025)
  5. Penarol 3–0 Defensor Sporting (08 Jun 2025)
  6. Defensor Sporting 0–1 Penarol (03 May 2025)
  7. Penarol 2–0 Defensor Sporting (17 Nov 2024)
  8. Penarol 1–0 Defensor Sporting (27 Jul 2024)
  9. Defensor Sporting 0–2 Penarol (18 May 2024)
  10. Penarol 2–1 Defensor Sporting (07 Oct 2023)

Defensor Sporting recent matches

Scores below are shown as Defensor Sporting goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026ProgresoAway2–0Won
24 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoHome3–3Draw
17 Oct 2026Boston RiverAway0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026CerroHome2–3Lost
03 Oct 2026Albion FCAway2–3Lost
Defensor Sporting detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Defensor Sporting performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total35
Wins home7
Wins away2
Wins total9
Draws home4
Draws away8
Draws total12
Losses home7
Losses away7
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Defensor Sporting goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away15
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.43%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.86%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home24
Goals against total away19
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.63%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.60%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.28%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.98%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.98%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total17
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage39.53%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Penarol recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penarol goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026WanderersHome1–1Draw
27 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueHome0–2Lost
24 Oct 2026JuventudAway0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026ProgresoHome1–1Draw
Penarol detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penarol performance

Fixtures played home19
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total36
Wins home10
Wins away10
Wins total20
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home4
Losses away3
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away10
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Penarol goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home35
Goals for total away22
Goals for total57
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.91%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.91%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total17
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.91%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away9
Goals against total29
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.90%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.13%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.58%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.13%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.13%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.13%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under36
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under36
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under36

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Defensor Sporting predictions and analysis, Penarol match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.