FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Defensor Sporting badge Defensor Sporting
VS

Final result2–3

Estadio Luis Franzini

Match Finished

Cerro badge Cerro
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Defensor Sporting or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Defensor SportingProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
CerroProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Defensor Sporting
Betting advice
Double chance : Defensor Sporting or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDefensor SportingCerro
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals54.0%46.0%
Total54.8%45.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Defensor Sporting

Recent form (last 5): D W L W L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Cerro

Recent form (last 5): W W L D L

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Defensor Sporting 2–1 Cerro (04 Aug 2026)
  2. Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting (05 Apr 2026)
  3. Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting (12 Oct 2025)
  4. Defensor Sporting 2–1 Cerro (23 Jun 2025)
  5. Defensor Sporting 3–2 Cerro (14 Apr 2025)
  6. Cerro 1–1 Defensor Sporting (07 Sep 2024)
  7. Defensor Sporting 5–0 Cerro (25 Feb 2024)
  8. Cerro 1–1 Defensor Sporting (15 Nov 2023)
  9. Defensor Sporting 1–1 Cerro (08 Apr 2023)
  10. Defensor Sporting 0–1 Cerro (04 Dec 2021)

Defensor Sporting recent matches

Scores below are shown as Defensor Sporting goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Albion FCAway2–3Lost
30 Sep 2026Plaza ColoniaHome0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026DanubioHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Club NacionalAway2–3Lost
13 Sep 2026Deportivo MaldonadoHome1–0Won
Defensor Sporting detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Defensor Sporting performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home7
Wins away1
Wins total8
Draws home3
Draws away8
Draws total11
Losses home6
Losses away6
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Defensor Sporting goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away13
Goals for total28
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.93%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away18
Goals against total36
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.41%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage35.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Cerro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026WanderersHome0–2Lost
27 Sep 2026JuventudAway0–0Draw
24 Sep 2026Deportivo MaldonadoHome1–2Lost
19 Sep 2026PenarolHome1–2Lost
13 Sep 2026ProgresoAway3–1Won
Cerro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerro performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home6
Wins away3
Wins total9
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home6
Losses away10
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Cerro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away12
Goals for total23
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage4.55%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away33
Goals against total45
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.70%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.87%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.91%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.52%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total17
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage36.96%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Defensor Sporting predictions and analysis, Cerro match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.