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Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Danubio badge Danubio
VS

Final result2–1

Gardens of the Hippodrome

Match Finished

Cerro Largo badge Cerro Largo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Cerro Largo and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
DanubioProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Cerro LargoProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cerro Largo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Cerro Largo and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDanubioCerro Largo
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total40.8%59.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Danubio

Recent form (last 5): L L D D L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Cerro Largo

Recent form (last 5): D L D L L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cerro Largo 2–0 Danubio (30 Mar 2026)
  2. Cerro Largo 1–0 Danubio (19 Aug 2025)
  3. Cerro Largo 2–2 Danubio (06 Mar 2025)
  4. Danubio 0–0 Cerro Largo (15 Feb 2025)
  5. Cerro Largo 0–0 Danubio (20 Oct 2024)
  6. Cerro Largo 2–2 Danubio (09 Jun 2024)
  7. Danubio 1–1 Cerro Largo (20 Apr 2024)
  8. Danubio 2–0 Cerro Largo (02 Sep 2023)
  9. Cerro Largo 1–0 Danubio (18 Feb 2023)
  10. Cerro Largo 1–0 Danubio (30 Sep 2022)

Danubio recent matches

Scores below are shown as Danubio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Defensor SportingAway0–1Lost
24 Sep 2026PenarolHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026WanderersHome1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026JuventudAway1–1Draw
05 Sep 2026PenarolHome0–4Lost
Danubio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Danubio performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total30
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home8
Draws away6
Draws total14
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total14
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Danubio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away11
Goals for total24
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away24
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage35.90%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Cerro Largo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerro Largo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Sep 2026RentistasHome1–0Won
26 Sep 2026Club NacionalHome0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Deportivo MaldonadoAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Central EspanolHome0–0Draw
10 Sep 2026Defensor SportingHome1–1Draw
Cerro Largo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerro Largo performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home6
Draws away3
Draws total9
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Cerro Largo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away10
Goals for total28
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.04%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away19
Goals against total34
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.71%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Danubio predictions and analysis, Cerro Largo match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.