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Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Club Nacional badge Club Nacional
VS

Final result0–1

Gran Parque Central

Match Finished

Liverpool Montevideo badge Liverpool Montevideo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Club Nacional or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Club NacionalProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Liverpool MontevideoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Club Nacional
Betting advice
Double chance : Club Nacional or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorClub NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack61.0%39.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson50.0%50.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals69.0%31.0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Club Nacional

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Liverpool Montevideo

Recent form (last 5): D W W D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Liverpool Montevideo 1–3 Club Nacional (20 Apr 2026)
  2. Club Nacional 3–1 Liverpool Montevideo (20 Sep 2025)
  3. Liverpool Montevideo 2–2 Club Nacional (26 Mar 2025)
  4. Club Nacional 1–0 Liverpool Montevideo (08 Sep 2024)
  5. Club Nacional 2–1 Liverpool Montevideo (15 Jun 2024)
  6. Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Club Nacional (25 Feb 2024)
  7. Liverpool Montevideo 2–1 Club Nacional (06 Feb 2024)
  8. Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 Club Nacional (20 Aug 2023)
  9. Liverpool Montevideo 3–0 Club Nacional (23 Jun 2023)
  10. Club Nacional 2–1 Liverpool Montevideo (06 Feb 2023)

Club Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Club Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Oct 2026Deportivo MaldonadoHome3–2Won
16 Oct 2026RentistasHome3–0Won
11 Oct 2026Central EspanolAway1–0Won
06 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueHome2–0Won
26 Sep 2026Cerro LargoAway2–0Won
Club Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Club Nacional performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home10
Wins away8
Wins total18
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home5
Losses away6
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Club Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home29
Goals for total away22
Goals for total51
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.46%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.31%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.92%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away23
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.95%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.13%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage38.46%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Liverpool Montevideo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Liverpool Montevideo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026Cerro LargoHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026PenarolHome1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Deportivo MaldonadoAway1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026ProgresoHome3–2Won
27 Sep 2026Central EspanolAway2–1Won
Liverpool Montevideo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Liverpool Montevideo performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home7
Wins away7
Wins total14
Draws home5
Draws away6
Draws total11
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home10
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total15
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Liverpool Montevideo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away23
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.78%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.89%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.89%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.78%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.44%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away17
Goals against total31
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Club Nacional predictions and analysis, Liverpool Montevideo match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.