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Cerro vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Cerro badge Cerro
VS

Final result1–1

Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Match Finished

Cerro Largo badge Cerro Largo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Cerro or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CerroProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Cerro LargoProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cerro
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Cerro or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCerroCerro Largo
Form88.0%13.0%
Attack88.0%13.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total60.2%40.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Cerro

Recent form (last 5): W L D L W

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Cerro Largo

Recent form (last 5): D L L L L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cerro Largo 2–0 Cerro (30 May 2026)
  2. Cerro Largo 1–1 Cerro (11 Apr 2026)
  3. Cerro 0–1 Cerro Largo (07 Sep 2025)
  4. Cerro 2–1 Cerro Largo (19 Jun 2025)
  5. Cerro Largo 0–0 Cerro (17 Mar 2025)
  6. Cerro Largo 3–1 Cerro (28 Sep 2024)
  7. Cerro 0–1 Cerro Largo (14 Jul 2024)
  8. Cerro 1–1 Cerro Largo (24 Mar 2024)
  9. Cerro Largo 0–0 Cerro (30 Nov 2023)
  10. Cerro Largo 0–1 Cerro (02 Jul 2023)

Cerro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Defensor SportingAway3–2Won
04 Oct 2026WanderersHome0–2Lost
27 Sep 2026JuventudAway0–0Draw
24 Sep 2026Deportivo MaldonadoHome1–2Lost
19 Sep 2026PenarolHome1–2Lost
Cerro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerro performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total32
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home6
Losses away10
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Cerro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away15
Goals for total26
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage24.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage4.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away35
Goals against total47
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.92%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total17
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage35.42%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Cerro Largo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerro Largo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Albion FCHome0–1Lost
04 Oct 2026DanubioAway1–2Lost
30 Sep 2026RentistasHome1–0Won
26 Sep 2026Club NacionalHome0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Deportivo MaldonadoAway0–2Lost
Cerro Largo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerro Largo performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home6
Draws away3
Draws total9
Losses home6
Losses away9
Losses total15
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Cerro Largo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away11
Goals for total29
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.86%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.86%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away21
Goals against total37
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cerro predictions and analysis, Cerro Largo match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.