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Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Primera División

Cerro Largo badge Cerro Largo
VS

Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Progreso badge Progreso
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Cerro Largo or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Cerro LargoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
ProgresoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cerro Largo
Betting advice
Double chance : Cerro Largo or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCerro LargoProgreso
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals77.0%23.0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Cerro Largo

Recent form (last 5): L L D W L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Progreso

Recent form (last 5): L D W W L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo (03 May 2026)
  2. Progreso 1–2 Cerro Largo (09 Aug 2025)
  3. Cerro Largo 4–1 Progreso (07 Feb 2025)
  4. Cerro Largo 2–1 Progreso (30 Nov 2024)
  5. Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo (04 Jun 2024)
  6. Cerro Largo 1–0 Progreso (17 Oct 2021)
  7. Progreso 0–0 Cerro Largo (19 Jun 2021)
  8. Progreso 1–0 Cerro Largo (14 Mar 2021)
  9. Progreso 1–2 Cerro Largo (12 Sep 2020)
  10. Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo (21 Nov 2019)

Cerro Largo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cerro Largo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Racing MontevideoAway1–3Lost
25 Oct 2026Boston RiverHome2–0Won
21 Oct 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026CerroAway1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026Albion FCHome0–1Lost
Cerro Largo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cerro Largo performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total35
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home6
Draws away4
Draws total10
Losses home6
Losses away10
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Cerro Largo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away13
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away25
Goals against total41
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.81%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Progreso recent matches

Scores below are shown as Progreso goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Defensor SportingHome0–2Lost
25 Oct 2026WanderersAway1–0Won
17 Oct 2026JuventudHome2–0Won
10 Oct 2026PenarolAway1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026Liverpool MontevideoAway2–3Lost
Progreso detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Progreso performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total35
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home10
Losses away10
Losses total20
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home7
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total14
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Progreso goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away15
Goals for total31
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home26
Goals against total away23
Goals against total49
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cerro Largo predictions and analysis, Progreso match tips, or more Primera División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.