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Yarud Mariupol' vs Chernihiv Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Persha Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Persha Liga

Yarud Mariupol' badge Yarud Mariupol'
VS

Final result3–1

Kolos Stadium

Match Finished

Chernihiv badge Chernihiv
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Yarud Mariupol' or drawSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
Yarud Mariupol'Probability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
ChernihivProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Yarud Mariupol'
Betting advice
Double chance : Yarud Mariupol' or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
Form79.0%21.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence77.0%23.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total72.0%28.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Yarud Mariupol'

Recent form (last 5): D D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Chernihiv

Recent form (last 5): L L L W L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chernihiv 1–4 Yarud Mariupol' (21 Mar 2026)
  2. Chernihiv 0–0 Yarud Mariupol' (18 Mar 2026)
  3. Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Chernihiv (31 Aug 2025)
  4. Yarud Mariupol' 3–1 Chernihiv (22 Oct 2023)
  5. Chernihiv 0–1 Yarud Mariupol' (13 Sep 2023)
  6. Yarud Mariupol' 1–1 Chernihiv (07 May 2023)
  7. Chernihiv 2–1 Yarud Mariupol' (08 Apr 2023)

Yarud Mariupol' recent matches

Scores below are shown as Yarud Mariupol' goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23 Oct 2026Metal KharkivAway2–0Won
17 Oct 2026InhuletsHome4–1Won
11 Oct 2026UCSAAway2–1Won
05 Oct 2026Nyva TernopilHome0–0Draw
27 Sep 2026OleksandriaAway1–1Draw
Yarud Mariupol' detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Yarud Mariupol' performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home3
Wins away4
Wins total7
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Yarud Mariupol' goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away10
Goals for total20
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage31.25%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away5
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Chernihiv recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chernihiv goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026Epitsentr DunayivtsiHome1–2Lost
17 Oct 2026Viktoriya MykolaivkaAway1–2Lost
11 Oct 2026PrykarpattiaAway1–0Won
06 Oct 2026TrostianetsAway4–2Won
02 Oct 2026SK PoltavaAway2–3Lost
Chernihiv detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chernihiv performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total11
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away5
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Chernihiv goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away8
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away13
Goals against total16
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Yarud Mariupol' predictions and analysis, Chernihiv match tips, or more Persha Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.