Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Persha Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Persha Liga

VS

Final result1–1

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Oleksandria or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
OleksandriaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Yarud Mariupol'Probability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Oleksandria
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Oleksandria or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorOleksandriaYarud Mariupol'
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack27.0%73.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total55.5%44.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Oleksandria

Recent form (last 5): W W D W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Yarud Mariupol'

Recent form (last 5): W W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Oleksandria 1–0 Yarud Mariupol' (03 Jul 2023)

Oleksandria recent matches

Scores below are shown as Oleksandria goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Ahrobiznes VolochyskAway0–1Lost
14 Sep 2026Viktoriya MykolaivkaHome1–0Won
09 Sep 2026Probiy HorodenkaAway1–1Draw
05 Sep 2026PrykarpattiaAway0–0Draw
29 Aug 2026ChernihivHome1–0Won
Oleksandria detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Oleksandria performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Oleksandria goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away6
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away5
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Yarud Mariupol' recent matches

Scores below are shown as Yarud Mariupol' goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Polissya IIHome2–1Won
13 Sep 2026Probiy HorodenkaAway2–0Won
09 Sep 2026Zorya LuhanskHome0–2Lost
05 Sep 2026KulykivHome1–1Draw
28 Aug 2026Lokomotiv KyivAway3–1Won
Yarud Mariupol' detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Yarud Mariupol' performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total8
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Yarud Mariupol' goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away5
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away3
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Oleksandria predictions and analysis, Yarud Mariupol' match tips, or more Persha Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.