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Express vs UPDF Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Express badge Express
VS

Final result1–2

Hamz Stadium

Match Finished

UPDF badge UPDF
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Express or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ExpressProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
UPDFProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Express
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Express or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorExpressUPDF
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson81.0%19.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total65.3%34.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Express

Recent form (last 5): L W L D D

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

UPDF

Recent form (last 5): D L D W

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. UPDF 0–1 Express (15 Apr 2026)
  2. Express 1–0 UPDF (26 Sep 2025)
  3. Express 2–2 UPDF (24 Apr 2025)
  4. UPDF 0–2 Express (06 Jan 2025)
  5. Express 3–1 UPDF (27 Feb 2024)
  6. UPDF 1–1 Express (27 Oct 2023)
  7. Express 1–1 UPDF (11 Feb 2023)
  8. UPDF 1–1 Express (01 Oct 2022)
  9. Express 0–0 UPDF (14 May 2022)
  10. UPDF 1–0 Express (23 Oct 2021)

Express recent matches

Scores below are shown as Express goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Oct 2026NECAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026KitaraHome1–1Draw
09 Sep 2026SC VillaAway0–2Lost
03 Sep 2026KCCAHome2–0Won
30 Aug 2026BULAway0–1Lost
Express detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Express performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Express goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away0
Goals for total3
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total0.60
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage66.67%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

UPDF recent matches

Scores below are shown as UPDF goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Sep 2026MaroonsHome1–0Won
10 Sep 2026PoliceAway0–0Draw
01 Sep 2026Entebbe UPPCAway1–2Lost
29 Aug 2026KatakaHome0–0Draw
23 May 2026SC VillaAway1–2Lost
UPDF detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

UPDF performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

UPDF goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away1
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away2
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Express predictions and analysis, UPDF match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.