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Merw vs Ahal Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ýokary Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Ýokary Liga

Merw badge Merw
VS
Ahal badge Ahal
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or AhalSelection confidence: 95%
0%
HOME WIN
MerwProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
AhalProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ahal
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Ahal

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMerwAhal
Form17.0%83.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2H7.0%93.0%
Goals17.0%83.0%
Total20.4%79.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Merw

Recent form (last 5): L L L L D

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Ahal

Recent form (last 5): W L L D D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ahal 4–0 Merw (22 Aug 2026)
  2. Merw 1–3 Ahal (24 May 2026)
  3. Ahal 2–2 Merw (18 Apr 2026)
  4. Merw 0–2 Ahal (11 Dec 2025)
  5. Ahal 4–0 Merw (04 Dec 2025)
  6. Ahal 0–0 Merw (17 Sep 2025)
  7. Merw 1–3 Ahal (14 Jun 2025)
  8. Ahal 3–0 Merw (11 Apr 2025)
  9. Merw 0–1 Ahal (30 Oct 2024)
  10. Ahal 2–0 Merw (30 Aug 2024)

Merw recent matches

Scores below are shown as Merw goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Nov 2026Altyn AsyrHome0–0Draw
31 Oct 2026AşgabatAway0–1Lost
21 Oct 2026Altyn AsyrAway0–5Lost
17 Oct 2026NebitciAway0–3Lost
24 Sep 2026ArkadagHome0–5Lost
Merw detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Merw performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total25
Wins home5
Wins away1
Wins total6
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home5
Losses away10
Losses total15
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-7
Biggest losses away7-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home7
Biggest goals against away7
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Merw goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away8
Goals for total22
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home23
Goals against total away41
Goals against total64
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away3.20
Goals against average total2.60
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under19

Ahal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ahal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Nov 2026ŞagadamHome0–0Draw
01 Nov 2026Altyn AsyrAway0–0Draw
23 Oct 2026Al AnsarHome2–1Won
20 Oct 2026Al IttihadAway1–5Lost
17 Oct 2026ParoHome2–2Draw
Ahal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ahal performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away11
Fixtures played total24
Wins home7
Wins away6
Wins total13
Draws home3
Draws away2
Draws total5
Losses home3
Losses away3
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Ahal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away25
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under24
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away13
Goals against total28
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Merw predictions and analysis, Ahal match tips, or more Ýokary Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.