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Aşgabat vs Merw Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ýokary Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Ýokary Liga

Aşgabat badge Aşgabat
VS

Final result1–0

Match Finished

Merw badge Merw
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : AşgabatSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
AşgabatProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
MerwProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Aşgabat
Betting advice
Winner : Aşgabat

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAşgabatMerw
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson75.0%25.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Aşgabat

Recent form (last 5): L D L L D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Merw

Recent form (last 5): D W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Merw 3–2 Aşgabat (30 Aug 2026)
  2. Aşgabat 5–1 Merw (30 May 2026)
  3. Merw 2–1 Aşgabat (22 Apr 2026)
  4. Aşgabat 2–1 Merw (30 Oct 2025)
  5. Merw 1–2 Aşgabat (15 Aug 2025)
  6. Merw 2–0 Aşgabat (09 May 2025)
  7. Aşgabat 0–0 Merw (14 Mar 2025)
  8. Aşgabat 2–0 Merw (07 Nov 2024)
  9. Merw 1–1 Aşgabat (04 Sep 2024)
  10. Merw 0–1 Aşgabat (04 May 2024)

Aşgabat recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aşgabat goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026NebitciHome0–0Draw
11 Oct 2026Altyn AsyrHome2–4Lost
19 Sep 2026AhalHome3–4Lost
05 Sep 2026Köpetdag AşgabatHome1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026MerwAway2–3Lost
Aşgabat detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aşgabat performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away11
Fixtures played total23
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home6
Losses away9
Losses total15
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-7
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home7
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Aşgabat goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away12
Goals for total28
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under22
Goals against total home25
Goals against total away26
Goals against total51
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away2.40
Goals against average total2.20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under22

Merw recent matches

Scores below are shown as Merw goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026Altyn AsyrAway0–5Lost
17 Oct 2026NebitciAway0–3Lost
24 Sep 2026ArkadagHome0–5Lost
19 Sep 2026ŞagadamAway2–0Won
12 Sep 2026Köpetdag AşgabatHome0–0Draw
Merw detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Merw performance

Fixtures played home11
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total23
Wins home5
Wins away1
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home5
Losses away9
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-7
Biggest losses away7-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home7
Biggest goals against away7
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Merw goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away8
Goals for total22
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under23
Goals against total home23
Goals against total away40
Goals against total63
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away3.30
Goals against average total2.70
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under17

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Aşgabat predictions and analysis, Merw match tips, or more Ýokary Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.