Ahal vs Şagadam Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ýokary Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Ýokary Liga

VS
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Ahal or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
AhalProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
ŞagadamProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ahal
Betting advice
Double chance : Ahal or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAhalŞagadam
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson85.0%15.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total68.7%31.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Ahal

Recent form (last 5): W W L L D

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Şagadam

Recent form (last 5): W L L L D

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Şagadam 2–1 Ahal (05 Sep 2026)
  2. Ahal 1–0 Şagadam (07 Jun 2026)
  3. Şagadam 1–3 Ahal (26 Apr 2026)
  4. Ahal 1–0 Şagadam (01 Dec 2025)
  5. Şagadam 0–0 Ahal (07 Nov 2025)
  6. Ahal 1–1 Şagadam (30 May 2025)
  7. Şagadam 1–2 Ahal (03 Apr 2025)
  8. Şagadam 1–4 Ahal (30 Nov 2024)
  9. Ahal 6–0 Şagadam (05 Nov 2024)
  10. Şagadam 1–0 Ahal (04 May 2024)

Ahal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ahal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Altyn AsyrAway0–0Draw
23 Oct 2026Al AnsarHome2–1Won
20 Oct 2026Al IttihadAway1–5Lost
17 Oct 2026ParoHome2–2Draw
28 Sep 2026ArkadagHome0–4Lost
Ahal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ahal performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away11
Fixtures played total23
Wins home7
Wins away6
Wins total13
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home3
Losses away3
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Ahal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away25
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under23
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away13
Goals against total28
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under23

Şagadam recent matches

Scores below are shown as Şagadam goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Köpetdag AşgabatAway0–0Draw
11 Oct 2026NebitciAway0–3Lost
19 Sep 2026MerwHome0–2Lost
12 Sep 2026Altyn AsyrAway0–2Lost
05 Sep 2026AhalHome2–1Won
Şagadam detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Şagadam performance

Fixtures played home11
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total23
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away7
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away11
Failed to score total14
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Şagadam goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away3
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under23
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away15
Goals against total33
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under23

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Ahal predictions and analysis, Şagadam match tips, or more Ýokary Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.