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FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Challenge League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Challenge League

FC Aarau badge FC Aarau
VS

Final result1–2

Match Finished

Étoile Carouge badge Étoile Carouge
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : FC AarauSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
FC AarauProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Étoile CarougeProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
FC Aarau
Betting advice
Winner : FC Aarau

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Form83.0%17.0%
Attack82.0%18.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson80.0%20.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total68.3%31.7%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Aarau

Recent form (last 5): D W D L L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Étoile Carouge

Recent form (last 5): L D L L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Étoile Carouge 3–0 FC Aarau (24 Jul 2026)
  2. FC Aarau 1–3 Étoile Carouge (07 Apr 2026)
  3. Étoile Carouge 0–3 FC Aarau (06 Mar 2026)
  4. FC Aarau 2–1 Étoile Carouge (12 Dec 2025)
  5. Étoile Carouge 1–3 FC Aarau (26 Sep 2025)
  6. Étoile Carouge 1–3 FC Aarau (16 May 2025)
  7. FC Aarau 2–2 Étoile Carouge (28 Mar 2025)
  8. FC Aarau 0–1 Étoile Carouge (05 Dec 2024)
  9. Étoile Carouge 2–1 FC Aarau (01 Nov 2024)
  10. FC Aarau 1–0 Étoile Carouge (24 Aug 2024)

FC Aarau recent matches

Scores below are shown as FC Aarau goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026FC ZurichHome2–0Won
09 Oct 2026Stade NyonnaisAway1–2Lost
02 Oct 2026BSC Young BoysHome1–2Lost
24 Sep 2026GrasshoppersAway1–4Lost
18 Sep 2026FC WinterthurAway1–2Lost
FC Aarau detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FC Aarau performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away4
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

FC Aarau goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away5
Goals for total15
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away11
Goals against total18
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage29.41%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.65%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Étoile Carouge recent matches

Scores below are shown as Étoile Carouge goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16 Oct 2026Stade Lausanne-OuchyAway0–3Lost
09 Oct 2026Yverdon SportHome0–2Lost
18 Sep 2026SC KriensAway1–4Lost
11 Sep 2026FC WinterthurHome0–1Lost
04 Sep 2026FC WIL 1900Home1–1Draw
Étoile Carouge detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Étoile Carouge performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total10
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Étoile Carouge goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away2
Goals for total8
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away8
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FC Aarau predictions and analysis, Étoile Carouge match tips, or more Challenge League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.