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Palencia CF vs UD Santa Marta Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 8, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Palencia CF badge Palencia CF
VS

Final result3–0

Match Finished

UD Santa Marta badge UD Santa Marta
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or UD Santa MartaSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Palencia CFProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
UD Santa MartaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
UD Santa Marta
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or UD Santa Marta

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPalencia CFUD Santa Marta
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total30.0%70.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Palencia CF

Recent form (last 5): W L L

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

UD Santa Marta

Recent form (last 5): W W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. UD Santa Marta 2–1 Palencia CF (02 May 2026)
  2. Palencia CF 2–1 UD Santa Marta (04 Jan 2026)
  3. UD Santa Marta 2–0 Palencia CF (20 Apr 2025)
  4. Palencia CF 1–1 UD Santa Marta (06 Dec 2024)
  5. UD Santa Marta 1–1 Palencia CF (18 Feb 2024)
  6. Palencia CF 2–1 UD Santa Marta (30 Sep 2023)
  7. Palencia CF 3–0 UD Santa Marta (12 Mar 2023)
  8. UD Santa Marta 2–1 Palencia CF (05 Nov 2022)
  9. Palencia CF 2–1 UD Santa Marta (23 Apr 2022)
  10. UD Santa Marta 1–0 Palencia CF (11 Dec 2021)

Palencia CF recent matches

Scores below are shown as Palencia CF goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Burgos PromesasAway0–3Lost
13 Sep 2026Cultural Leonesa IIHome0–1Lost
06 Sep 2026Mirandés IIAway2–0Won
29 Aug 2026Atlético AstorgaAway1–0Won
08 Aug 2026Sporting Gijón IIAway1–1Draw
Palencia CF detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Palencia CF performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total3
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Palencia CF goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

UD Santa Marta recent matches

Scores below are shown as UD Santa Marta goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Colegios DiocesanosHome3–0Won
16 Sep 2026BergantiñosHome1–0Won
13 Sep 2026VillaralboAway2–1Won
09 Sep 2026VimenorHome2–1Won
05 Sep 2026ArandinaHome1–0Won
UD Santa Marta detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

UD Santa Marta performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total3
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

UD Santa Marta goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away2
Goals for total6
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.30
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Palencia CF predictions and analysis, UD Santa Marta match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.