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Móstoles vs Leganés II Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 7, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles badge Móstoles
VS

Final result1–1

Match Finished

Leganés II badge Leganés II
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Móstoles or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
MóstolesProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Leganés IIProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Móstoles
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Móstoles or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMóstolesLeganés II
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence83.0%17.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total49.4%50.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Móstoles

Recent form (last 5): D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Leganés II

Recent form (last 5): W L W L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Móstoles 1–1 Leganés II (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Leganés II 2–0 Móstoles (14 Dec 2025)
  3. Móstoles 0–3 Leganés II (28 Apr 2024)
  4. Leganés II 0–1 Móstoles (17 Dec 2023)
  5. Leganés II 0–0 Móstoles (20 Feb 2022)
  6. Móstoles 3–3 Leganés II (03 Oct 2021)
  7. Móstoles 0–1 Leganés II (28 Feb 2021)
  8. Leganés II 1–1 Móstoles (29 Nov 2020)
  9. Leganés II —–— Móstoles (19 Apr 2020)
  10. Móstoles 3–3 Leganés II (01 Dec 2019)

Móstoles recent matches

Scores below are shown as Móstoles goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026TorrejónAway1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Cala PozueloHome1–0Won
13 Sep 2026FuenlabradaAway3–1Won
06 Sep 2026Rayo Vallecano IIHome0–0Draw
10 May 2026A Madrid IIIAway1–1Draw
Móstoles detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Móstoles performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Móstoles goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away4
Goals for total5
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.30
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Leganés II recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leganés II goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Cala PozueloAway0–1Lost
19 Sep 2026Rayo Vallecano IIHome4–1Won
13 Sep 2026Las RozasAway2–3Lost
06 Sep 2026Real AranjuezHome2–0Won
26 Aug 2026Gimnástica SegovianaAway1–2Lost
Leganés II detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leganés II performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Leganés II goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away2
Goals for total8
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away4
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Móstoles predictions and analysis, Leganés II match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.