FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Pasaia KE vs Derio Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Pasaia KE badge Pasaia KE
VS

Final result2–3

Match Finished

Derio badge Derio
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or DerioSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Pasaia KEProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
DerioProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Derio
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Derio

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPasaia KEDerio
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total35.3%64.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Pasaia KE

Recent form (last 5): W W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Derio

Recent form (last 5): W W D L W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pasaia KE 0–4 Derio (14 Feb 2026)
  2. Derio 0–1 Pasaia KE (05 Oct 2025)
  3. Derio 3–1 Pasaia KE (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Pasaia KE 2–2 Derio (30 Nov 2024)
  5. Derio 1–0 Pasaia KE (27 Mar 2024)
  6. Pasaia KE 0–3 Derio (11 Nov 2023)

Pasaia KE recent matches

Scores below are shown as Pasaia KE goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026DurangoAway0–2Lost
17 Oct 2026BeasainHome1–4Lost
11 Oct 2026AretxabaletaAway2–4Lost
03 Oct 2026SanturtziHome1–0Won
19 Sep 2026Real Sociedad IIIHome3–2Won
Pasaia KE detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Pasaia KE performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Pasaia KE goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away5
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away8
Goals against total16
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage31.25%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Derio recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Lagun OnakHome2–1Won
17 Oct 2026TouringAway0–2Lost
10 Oct 2026DurangoAway1–1Draw
04 Oct 2026BeasainHome2–0Won
26 Sep 2026AretxabaletaAway2–1Won
Derio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derio performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Derio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away5
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Pasaia KE predictions and analysis, Derio match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.