Durango vs Derio Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

VS

Final result1–1

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or DerioSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
DurangoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
DerioProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Derio
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Derio

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDurangoDerio
Form35.0%65.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total36.3%63.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Durango

Recent form (last 5): D L D W D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Derio

Recent form (last 5): D D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Derio 4–0 Durango (19 Mar 2026)
  2. Durango 1–0 Derio (08 Nov 2025)
  3. Derio 2–2 Durango (01 Feb 2025)
  4. Durango 1–1 Derio (21 Sep 2024)
  5. Durango 0–1 Derio (20 Apr 2024)
  6. Derio 0–1 Durango (03 Dec 2023)

Durango recent matches

Scores below are shown as Durango goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026TouringAway2–2Draw
26 Sep 2026BeasainAway2–1Won
19 Sep 2026AretxabaletaHome0–0Draw
13 Sep 2026SanturtziAway1–2Lost
05 Sep 2026San IgnacioHome3–3Draw
Durango detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Durango performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Durango goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away5
Goals for total8
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage60.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away5
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage60.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Derio recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026BeasainHome2–0Won
26 Sep 2026AretxabaletaAway2–1Won
20 Sep 2026SanturtziHome2–0Won
16 Sep 2026Salamanca UDSHome3–5Lost
12 Sep 2026San IgnacioAway1–1Draw
Derio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derio performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total5
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Derio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away3
Goals for total7
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away2
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.40
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Durango predictions and analysis, Derio match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.