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Deportivo Alavés III vs Leioa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Alavés III badge Deportivo Alavés III
VS

Final result2–2

Match Finished

Leioa badge Leioa
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Leioa and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Deportivo Alavés IIIProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LeioaProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Leioa
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Leioa and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDeportivo Alavés IIILeioa
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2H25.0%75.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total42.8%57.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Deportivo Alavés III

Recent form (last 5): W L L W W

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Leioa

Recent form (last 5): D D W W W

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Leioa 1–1 Deportivo Alavés III (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Deportivo Alavés III 0–1 Leioa (16 Nov 2025)
  3. Deportivo Alavés III 1–1 Leioa (29 Mar 2025)
  4. Leioa 1–0 Deportivo Alavés III (16 Nov 2024)
  5. Leioa 2–2 Deportivo Alavés III (23 Mar 2024)
  6. Deportivo Alavés III 0–1 Leioa (04 Nov 2023)

Deportivo Alavés III recent matches

Scores below are shown as Deportivo Alavés III goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026SodupeHome5–1Won
26 Sep 2026TouringHome1–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Aurrerá VitoriaAway1–2Lost
12 Sep 2026Amurrio ClubHome3–0Won
05 Sep 2026Eibar IIIAway1–1Draw
Deportivo Alavés III detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Deportivo Alavés III performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Deportivo Alavés III goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away4
Goals for total13
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total2.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage36.36%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away3
Goals against total6
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Leioa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leioa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Aurrerá VitoriaHome4–0Won
04 Oct 2026Amurrio ClubAway5–0Won
20 Sep 2026R. Union BAway3–3Draw
13 Sep 2026Pasaia KEHome1–1Draw
09 Sep 2026BergantiñosAway0–5Lost
Leioa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leioa performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Leioa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away9
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total2.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away4
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Deportivo Alavés III predictions and analysis, Leioa match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.