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Naval Reinosa vs Castro Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 3, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Naval Reinosa badge Naval Reinosa
VS

Final result2–1

Match Finished

Castro badge Castro
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Castro and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Naval ReinosaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
CastroProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Castro
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Castro and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNaval ReinosaCastro
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson24.0%76.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total37.8%62.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Naval Reinosa

Recent form (last 5): L L L D L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Castro

Recent form (last 5): D L L L W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Castro 2–0 Naval Reinosa (13 Apr 2025)
  2. Naval Reinosa 2–0 Castro (01 Dec 2024)
  3. Naval Reinosa 3–1 Castro (13 Apr 2024)
  4. Castro 1–0 Naval Reinosa (26 Nov 2023)
  5. Naval Reinosa 1–2 Castro (16 Apr 2023)
  6. Castro 1–2 Naval Reinosa (17 Dec 2022)
  7. Castro 0–2 Naval Reinosa (20 Mar 2022)
  8. Naval Reinosa 0–0 Castro (21 Nov 2021)

Naval Reinosa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Naval Reinosa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026RevillaAway2–3Lost
10 Oct 2026SolaresHome2–2Draw
04 Oct 2026SelayaAway2–3Lost
26 Sep 2026LaredoHome0–4Lost
19 Sep 2026BezanaAway2–3Lost
Naval Reinosa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Naval Reinosa performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Naval Reinosa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away6
Goals for total8
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage42.86%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away9
Goals against total18
Goals against average home3.00
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total2.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage35.71%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Castro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Castro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026EscobedoHome3–0Won
10 Oct 2026Atlético AlbericiaAway2–4Lost
04 Oct 2026TropezónHome0–2Lost
27 Sep 2026Atlético MinerosHome0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026RevillaAway2–2Draw
Castro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Castro performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Castro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away4
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away6
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Naval Reinosa predictions and analysis, Castro match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.