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Varea vs Alfaro Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

Varea badge Varea
VS

Final result1–0

Match Finished

Alfaro badge Alfaro
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Varea or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
VareaProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
AlfaroProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Varea
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Varea or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorVareaAlfaro
Form48.0%52.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals30.0%70.0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Varea

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Alfaro

Recent form (last 5): L W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Alfaro 1–1 Varea (11 Feb 2024)
  2. Varea 0–2 Alfaro (24 Sep 2023)
  3. Varea 0–3 Alfaro (23 Jan 2022)
  4. Alfaro 1–1 Varea (12 Sep 2021)
  5. Varea 1–0 Alfaro (24 Jan 2021)
  6. Alfaro 0–3 Varea (25 Oct 2020)
  7. Alfaro —–— Varea (03 May 2020)
  8. Varea 2–1 Alfaro (15 Dec 2019)

Varea recent matches

Scores below are shown as Varea goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026CalasancioAway1–0Won
11 Oct 2026AgoncilloHome1–0Won
04 Oct 2026OyonesaAway0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026PradejónAway1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026San MarcialHome0–0Draw
Varea detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Varea performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Varea goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away4
Goals for total6
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage66.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away3
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.40
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Alfaro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Alfaro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026VianésHome1–0Won
11 Oct 2026CasalarreinaAway1–0Won
04 Oct 2026CalahorraHome2–1Won
27 Sep 2026AnguianoAway2–1Won
20 Sep 2026Haro DeportivoHome1–2Lost
Alfaro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Alfaro performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Alfaro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away5
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage36.36%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage36.36%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away3
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage66.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Varea predictions and analysis, Alfaro match tips, or more Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.