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Almeria vs Burgos Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Segunda División, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Segunda División

Almeria badge Almeria
VS

Final result2–1

UD Almería Stadium

Match Finished

Burgos badge Burgos
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Almeria or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
AlmeriaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BurgosProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Almeria
Betting advice
Double chance : Almeria or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAlmeriaBurgos
Form52.0%48.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total56.8%43.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Almeria

Recent form (last 5): L W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Burgos

Recent form (last 5): D D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Burgos 0–0 Almeria (09 May 2026)
  2. Almeria 1–2 Burgos (14 Dec 2025)
  3. Burgos 3–1 Almeria (21 Mar 2025)
  4. Almeria 2–0 Burgos (05 Oct 2024)
  5. Burgos 0–2 Almeria (30 Apr 2022)
  6. Almeria 2–0 Burgos (07 Nov 2021)

Almeria recent matches

Scores below are shown as Almeria goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026MallorcaAway1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Celta de Vigo IIHome2–0Won
12 Sep 2026CordobaAway2–0Won
06 Sep 2026CadizHome3–2Won
29 Aug 2026SabadellAway0–1Lost
Almeria detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Almeria performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Almeria goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away3
Goals for total11
Goals for average home2.70
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage41.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage8.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away2
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Burgos recent matches

Scores below are shown as Burgos goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026EldenseHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Las PalmasAway2–1Won
11 Sep 2026AD Ceuta FCHome3–1Won
06 Sep 2026OviedoAway0–0Draw
31 Aug 2026Real Sociedad IIHome2–2Draw
Burgos detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Burgos performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Burgos goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away2
Goals for total11
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away2
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage37.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage37.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Almeria predictions and analysis, Burgos match tips, or more Segunda División predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.