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UD Ourense vs Mérida AD Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense badge UD Ourense
VS

Estadio de O Couto

Mérida AD badge Mérida AD
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Mérida AD and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 95%
0%
HOME WIN
UD OurenseProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
Mérida ADProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Mérida AD
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Mérida AD and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorUD OurenseMérida AD
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack18.0%82.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total27.8%72.5%

Team form and goal analysis

UD Ourense

Recent form (last 5): W L L W L

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Mérida AD

Recent form (last 5): W W D L W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

UD Ourense recent matches

Scores below are shown as UD Ourense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Nov 2026PontevedraAway0–1Lost
01 Nov 2026Cultural LeonesaHome1–0Won
29 Oct 2026Gimnástica TorrelavegaAway1–3Lost
24 Oct 2026Arenas GetxoAway0–2Lost
18 Oct 2026Real AvilésAway0–3Lost
UD Ourense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

UD Ourense performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away5
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

UD Ourense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away2
Goals for total4
Goals for average home0.40
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.40
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage75.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away12
Goals against total16
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Mérida AD recent matches

Scores below are shown as Mérida AD goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Nov 2026Athletic Club IIHome2–0Won
01 Nov 2026LugoAway1–2Lost
25 Oct 2026CD CoriaHome0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Arenas GetxoAway4–0Won
11 Oct 2026PontevedraAway2–1Won
Mérida AD detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Mérida AD performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home3-5
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Mérida AD goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away7
Goals for total18
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.78%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away5
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore UD Ourense predictions and analysis, Mérida AD match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.