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UD Ourense vs Barakaldo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

UD Ourense badge UD Ourense
VS

Final result1–0

Estadio de O Couto

Match Finished

Barakaldo badge Barakaldo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Barakaldo and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
UD OurenseProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
BarakaldoProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Barakaldo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Barakaldo and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorUD OurenseBarakaldo
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total34.7%65.3%

Team form and goal analysis

UD Ourense

Recent form (last 5): L L L D D

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Barakaldo

Recent form (last 5): L W L D D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

UD Ourense recent matches

Scores below are shown as UD Ourense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Real UniónAway1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026CacereñoHome0–0Draw
19 Sep 2026Unionistas de SalamancaAway1–3Lost
12 Sep 2026UD LogroñésHome0–3Lost
05 Sep 2026MirandesAway0–2Lost
UD Ourense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

UD Ourense performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

UD Ourense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.30
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away6
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Barakaldo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Barakaldo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Arenas GetxoHome1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026Real AvilésHome3–3Draw
19 Sep 2026Racing FerrolAway0–1Lost
11 Sep 2026Extremadura 1924Home1–0Won
05 Sep 2026CD CoriaAway1–4Lost
Barakaldo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Barakaldo performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total6
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Barakaldo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away1
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away5
Goals against total9
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore UD Ourense predictions and analysis, Barakaldo match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.