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Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina badge Ponferradina
VS

Final result0–2

Match Finished

Real Avilés badge Real Avilés
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PonferradinaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Real AvilésProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ponferradina
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPonferradinaReal Avilés
Form62.0%38.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals78.0%22.0%
Total65.2%34.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Ponferradina

Recent form (last 5): D L W D W

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Real Avilés

Recent form (last 5): L W D D L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ponferradina 1–1 Real Avilés (01 Aug 2026)
  2. Ponferradina 3–1 Real Avilés (09 May 2026)
  3. Real Avilés 0–3 Ponferradina (31 Aug 2025)
  4. Real Avilés 0–0 Ponferradina (02 Aug 2023)

Ponferradina recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ponferradina goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026MirandesHome1–0Won
27 Sep 2026PontevedraAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026Mérida ADHome1–0Won
13 Sep 2026Deportivo La Coruña IIAway1–2Lost
04 Sep 2026LugoHome0–0Draw
Ponferradina detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ponferradina performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Ponferradina goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away3
Goals for total5
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away3
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Real Avilés recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Avilés goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Oct 2026LugoHome1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026BarakaldoAway3–3Draw
19 Sep 2026CD CoriaAway1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Unionistas de SalamancaHome3–1Won
06 Sep 2026Athletic Club IIAway1–2Lost
Real Avilés detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Avilés performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Real Avilés goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away5
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away6
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Ponferradina predictions and analysis, Real Avilés match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.