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Ponferradina vs Cacereño Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina badge Ponferradina
VS
Cacereño badge Cacereño
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PonferradinaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
CacereñoProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ponferradina
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPonferradinaCacereño
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson73.0%27.0%
H2H88.0%13.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total65.2%35.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Ponferradina

Recent form (last 5): L D D D D

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Cacereño

Recent form (last 5): D L W L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cacereño 0–0 Ponferradina (15 Mar 2026)
  2. Ponferradina 2–0 Cacereño (02 Nov 2025)
  3. Cacereño 1–2 Ponferradina (01 Dec 2021)

Ponferradina recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ponferradina goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Nov 2026Cultural LeonesaAway1–1Draw
31 Oct 2026Racing FerrolAway0–0Draw
27 Oct 2026LlaneraAway1–1Draw
24 Oct 2026BarakaldoHome0–0Draw
17 Oct 2026ZamoraAway1–1Draw
Ponferradina detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ponferradina performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Ponferradina goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away5
Goals for total7
Goals for average home0.40
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away5
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.40
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage37.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Cacereño recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cacereño goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06 Nov 2026LugoHome0–1Lost
31 Oct 2026Athletic Club IIAway1–3Lost
24 Oct 2026ZamoraHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026PontevedraAway0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026Unionistas de SalamancaHome1–1Draw
Cacereño detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cacereño performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home4
Wins away0
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Cacereño goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away2
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage44.44%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away7
Goals against total9
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage44.44%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Ponferradina predictions and analysis, Cacereño match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.