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Lugo vs Racing Ferrol Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo badge Lugo
VS

Final result1–0

Estadio Anxo Carro

Match Finished

Racing Ferrol badge Racing Ferrol
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Lugo or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
LugoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Racing FerrolProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lugo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Lugo or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLugoRacing Ferrol
Form59.0%41.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total64.8%35.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Lugo

Recent form (last 5): W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Racing Ferrol

Recent form (last 5): D L W W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Racing Ferrol 1–1 Lugo (07 Feb 2026)
  2. Lugo 2–1 Racing Ferrol (21 Sep 2025)
  3. Racing Ferrol 1–1 Lugo (30 Dec 2022)
  4. Lugo 1–0 Racing Ferrol (06 Aug 2022)

Lugo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lugo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026ZamoraAway2–1Won
13 Sep 2026CD CoriaHome1–0Won
04 Sep 2026PonferradinaAway0–0Draw
30 Aug 2026Unionistas de SalamancaAway3–1Won
21 Aug 2026Ourense CFHome1–0Won
Lugo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lugo performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Lugo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away5
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away2
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Racing Ferrol recent matches

Scores below are shown as Racing Ferrol goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026BarakaldoHome1–0Won
13 Sep 2026Real UniónHome3–2Won
06 Sep 2026Extremadura 1924Away0–1Lost
29 Aug 2026Arenas GetxoAway1–1Draw
13 Aug 2026Real AvilésHome1–1Draw
Racing Ferrol detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Racing Ferrol performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Racing Ferrol goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away1
Goals for total5
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away2
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage75.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Lugo predictions and analysis, Racing Ferrol match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.