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Lugo vs Mérida AD Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo badge Lugo
VS

Final result2–1

Estadio Anxo Carro

Match Finished

Mérida AD badge Mérida AD
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Lugo or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
LugoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Mérida ADProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lugo
Betting advice
Double chance : Lugo or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLugoMérida AD
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total57.3%42.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Lugo

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Mérida AD

Recent form (last 5): L W W W D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Mérida AD 0–2 Lugo (03 May 2026)
  2. Lugo 1–0 Mérida AD (03 Jan 2026)

Lugo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lugo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23 Oct 2026Real UniónAway1–4Lost
17 Oct 2026Deportivo La Coruña IIHome3–0Won
12 Oct 2026UD LogroñésHome3–1Won
02 Oct 2026Real AvilésAway2–1Won
26 Sep 2026Racing FerrolHome1–0Won
Lugo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lugo performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Lugo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away8
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away7
Goals against total8
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Mérida AD recent matches

Scores below are shown as Mérida AD goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026CD CoriaHome0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Arenas GetxoAway4–0Won
11 Oct 2026PontevedraAway2–1Won
04 Oct 2026CacereñoHome2–0Won
27 Sep 2026UD LogroñésHome3–5Lost
Mérida AD detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Mérida AD performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home3-5
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Mérida AD goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away6
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away3
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage41.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Lugo predictions and analysis, Mérida AD match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.