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Barakaldo vs Real Avilés Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera División RFEF - Group 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Barakaldo badge Barakaldo
VS

Final result3–3

Campo de Lasesarre

Match Finished

Real Avilés badge Real Avilés
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Real Avilés and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
BarakaldoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Real AvilésProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Avilés
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Real Avilés and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBarakaldoReal Avilés
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H33.0%67.0%
Goals46.0%54.0%
Total41.6%58.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Barakaldo

Recent form (last 5): D L W L

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Real Avilés

Recent form (last 5): L L W D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Real Avilés 1–4 Barakaldo (17 May 2026)
  2. Barakaldo 1–2 Real Avilés (07 Dec 2025)
  3. Barakaldo 1–4 Real Avilés (17 Aug 2024)

Barakaldo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Barakaldo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Racing FerrolAway0–1Lost
11 Sep 2026Extremadura 1924Home1–0Won
05 Sep 2026CD CoriaAway1–4Lost
30 Aug 2026Cultural LeonesaHome0–0Draw
14 Aug 2026PortugaleteAway0–2Lost
Barakaldo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Barakaldo performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Barakaldo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away1
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away5
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Real Avilés recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Avilés goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026CD CoriaAway1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Unionistas de SalamancaHome3–1Won
06 Sep 2026Athletic Club IIAway1–2Lost
28 Aug 2026PontevedraHome0–1Lost
21 Aug 2026Sporting Gijón IIHome4–2Won
Real Avilés detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Avilés performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Real Avilés goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away2
Goals for total5
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away3
Goals against total5
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Barakaldo predictions and analysis, Real Avilés match tips, or more Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.