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Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

La Liga

Valencia badge Valencia
VS

Estadio de Mestalla

Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Real MadridSelection confidence: 50%
0%
HOME WIN
ValenciaProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
Real MadridProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Madrid
Betting advice
Winner : Real Madrid

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorValenciaReal Madrid
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson12.0%88.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals31.0%69.0%
Total28.7%71.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Valencia

Recent form (last 5): L D D L W

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Real Madrid

Recent form (last 5): L W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid (08 Feb 2026)
  2. Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia (01 Nov 2025)
  3. Real Madrid 1–2 Valencia (05 Apr 2025)
  4. Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid (03 Jan 2025)
  5. Valencia 2–2 Real Madrid (02 Mar 2024)
  6. Real Madrid 5–1 Valencia (11 Nov 2023)
  7. Valencia 1–0 Real Madrid (21 May 2023)
  8. Real Madrid 2–0 Valencia (02 Feb 2023)
  9. Real Madrid 1–1 Valencia (11 Jan 2023)
  10. Real Madrid 4–1 Valencia (08 Jan 2022)

Valencia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Valencia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026ElcheAway1–0Won
24 Oct 2026VillarrealHome1–2Lost
17 Oct 2026Athletic ClubHome0–0Draw
11 Oct 2026Racing SantanderAway2–2Draw
20 Sep 2026Real SociedadHome2–3Lost
Valencia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Valencia performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home4
Losses away2
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Valencia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away5
Goals for total8
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away6
Goals against total17
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Real Madrid recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Madrid goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Nov 2026AEK Athens FCAway3–2Won
01 Nov 2026Racing SantanderAway3–0Won
25 Oct 2026BarcelonaAway2–1Won
21 Oct 2026RB LeipzigHome4–1Won
18 Oct 2026SevillaHome4–1Won
Real Madrid detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Madrid performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Real Madrid goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away11
Goals for total28
Goals for average home3.40
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage3.85%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away7
Goals against total10
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Valencia predictions and analysis, Real Madrid match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.