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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

La Liga

Real Sociedad badge Real Sociedad
VS

Anoeta Stadium

Rayo Vallecano badge Rayo Vallecano
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Real Sociedad or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Real SociedadProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Rayo VallecanoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Sociedad
Betting advice
Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorReal SociedadRayo Vallecano
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson62.0%38.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total52.8%47.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Real Sociedad

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Rayo Vallecano

Recent form (last 5): W D D L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad (26 Apr 2026)
  2. Real Sociedad 0–1 Rayo Vallecano (05 Oct 2025)
  3. Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Sociedad (16 Mar 2025)
  4. Real Sociedad 3–1 Rayo Vallecano (16 Jan 2025)
  5. Real Sociedad 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (18 Aug 2024)
  6. Real Sociedad 0–0 Rayo Vallecano (27 Jan 2024)
  7. Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Sociedad (29 Oct 2023)
  8. Real Sociedad 2–1 Rayo Vallecano (22 Apr 2023)
  9. Rayo Vallecano 0–2 Real Sociedad (21 Jan 2023)
  10. Real Sociedad 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (10 Dec 2022)

Real Sociedad recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Sociedad goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05 Nov 2026LyonHome1–1Draw
01 Nov 2026Athletic ClubAway1–2Lost
25 Oct 2026LevanteHome2–1Won
22 Oct 2026LillestromAway6–0Won
18 Oct 2026MalagaAway5–2Won
Real Sociedad detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Sociedad performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Real Sociedad goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away13
Goals for total20
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.05%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away13
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage36.84%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Rayo Vallecano recent matches

Scores below are shown as Rayo Vallecano goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Celta VigoHome3–0Won
27 Oct 2026Recreativo HuelvaAway3–2Won
24 Oct 2026ElcheHome0–3Lost
19 Oct 2026GetafeAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026OsasunaAway1–1Draw
Rayo Vallecano detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Rayo Vallecano performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Rayo Vallecano goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away6
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage43.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.25%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away13
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage31.58%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Real Sociedad predictions and analysis, Rayo Vallecano match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.