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Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

La Liga

Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
VS

Final result4–1

Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Match Finished

Sevilla badge Sevilla
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Real Madrid or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Real MadridProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
SevillaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Madrid
Betting advice
Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorReal MadridSevilla
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals83.0%17.0%
Total64.4%35.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Real Madrid

Recent form (last 5): L W W L W

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Sevilla

Recent form (last 5): D W W L D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid (17 May 2026)
  2. Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla (20 Dec 2025)
  3. Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid (18 May 2025)
  4. Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla (22 Dec 2024)
  5. Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla (25 Feb 2024)
  6. Sevilla 1–1 Real Madrid (21 Oct 2023)
  7. Sevilla 1–2 Real Madrid (27 May 2023)
  8. Real Madrid 3–1 Sevilla (22 Oct 2022)
  9. Sevilla 2–3 Real Madrid (17 Apr 2022)
  10. Real Madrid 2–1 Sevilla (28 Nov 2021)

Real Madrid recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Madrid goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14 Oct 2026AS RomaAway4–3Won
10 Oct 2026VillarrealHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Atletico MadridAway1–2Lost
15 Sep 2026ElcheAway3–2Won
12 Sep 2026Rayo VallecanoHome4–1Won
Real Madrid detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Madrid performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Real Madrid goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away6
Goals for total19
Goals for average home3.30
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total2.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away6
Goals against total8
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Sevilla recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sevilla goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026LevanteAway3–3Draw
02 Oct 2026Aston VillaHome1–3Lost
19 Sep 2026BarcelonaHome1–3Lost
16 Sep 2026Deportivo La CorunaAway1–0Won
11 Sep 2026ValenciaHome1–0Won
Sevilla detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sevilla performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Sevilla goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away8
Goals for total13
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage38.46%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away5
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Real Madrid predictions and analysis, Sevilla match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.